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politicsopen
Will the SNP lose its Holyrood majority in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Closes 10 May 2026
48%chance YES
YES 48%NO 52%
Price History
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48%probability
Stake
t
Est. shares54.51
If correct, payout โ~55t
Market Stats
Total volume10,004t
YES pool4,760t
NO pool5,244t
Recent trades0
Closes10 May 2026