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politicsopen
Will the SNP lose its Holyrood majority in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
Closes 10 May 2026
49%chance YES
YES 49%NO 51%
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49%probability
Stake
t
Est. shares51.45
If correct, payout โ~51t
Market Stats
Total volume9,994t
YES pool4,900t
NO pool5,094t
Recent trades0
Closes10 May 2026