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politicsopen
Will Kemi Badenoch still be Conservative Party leader at end of 2026?
Closes 31 December 2026
55%chance YES
YES 55%NO 45%
Price History
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55%probability
Stake
t
Est. shares40.54
If correct, payout ≈~41t
Market Stats
Total volume10,000t
YES pool5,500t
NO pool4,500t
Recent trades0
Closes31 December 2026